Despite a good understanding that people with Opioid Use Disorder (OUD) have up to ten times higher standardised mortality rates compared with the general population, uncertainty regarding individual prognosis and mortality risk presents challenges to addiction services in providing individuals with accurate personalised risk information, prioritisation of finite resources and targeting of interventions. This one-hour seminar presents the development and validation of, to our knowledge, the first two prognostic models to assess individual 6-month all-cause and drug-related absolute mortality risk among people with OUD.

About the speaker: Dr Emmert Roberts is a Senior Clinical Lecturer in Addiction Psychiatry at King's College London and a Consultant Addiction Psychiatrist at the South London and the Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust. He is currently a National Institute of Health and Care Research (NIHR) Advanced Fellow and a Senior Harkness Fellow at The Commonwealth Fund. Dr Roberts is a Visiting Fellow at NDARC in 2025.