Bharat, Chrianna and Hickman, Matthew and Barbieri, Sebastiano and Degenhardt, Louisa (2021) Big data and predictive modelling for the opioid crisis: existing research and future potential. The Lancet Digital health, 3, (6), e397-e407. doi: 10.1016/S2589-7500(21)00058-3.
External website: https://www.thelancet.com/journals/landig/article/...
A need exists to accurately estimate overdose risk and improve understanding of how to deliver treatments and interventions in people with opioid use disorder in a way that reduces such risk. We consider opportunities for predictive analytics and routinely collected administrative data to evaluate how overdose could be reduced among people with opioid use disorder. Specifically, we summarise global trends in opioid use and overdoses; describe the use of big data in research into opioid overdose; consider the potential for predictive modelling, including machine learning, for prevention and monitoring of opioid overdoses; and outline the challenges and risks relating to the use of big data and machine learning in reducing harms that are related to opioid use. Future research for improving the coverage and provision of existing interventions, treatments, and resources for opioid use disorder requires collaboration of multiple agencies. Predictive modelling could transport the concept of stratified medicine to public health through novel methods, such as predictive modelling and emulated trials for evaluating diagnoses and prognoses of opioid use disorder, predicting treatment response, and providing targeted treatment recommendations.
J Health care, prevention, harm reduction and treatment > Health services, substance use research
J Health care, prevention, harm reduction and treatment > Harm reduction > Substance use harm reduction
N Communication, information and education > Information transfer / dissemination > Information transfer from research evidence to practice
R Research > Research outcome > Policy implications of research / evidence
VA Geographic area > International
Repository Staff Only: item control page