Home > Model-based appraisal of minimum unit pricing for alcohol in Northern Ireland.

Angus, Colin and Meng, Yang and Ally, Abdallah and Holmes, John and Brennan, Alan (2014) Model-based appraisal of minimum unit pricing for alcohol in Northern Ireland. ScHARR, University of Sheffield.

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Estimates from the Northern Ireland (NI) adaptation of the Sheffield alcohol policy model - version 3 - (SAPM3) suggest:
1. Minimum Unit Pricing (MUP) policies would be effective in reducing alcohol consumption, alcohol related harms (including alcohol-related deaths, hospitalisations, crimes and workplace absences) and the costs associated with those harms.
2. A ban on below-cost selling (implemented as a ban on selling alcohol for below the cost of duty plus the VAT payable on that duty) would have a negligible impact on alcohol consumption or related harms.
3. A ban on price-based promotions in the off-trade, either alone or in tandem with an MUP policy would be effective in reducing alcohol consumption, related harms and associated costs.
4. MUP and promotion ban policies would only have a small impact on moderate drinkers at all levels of income. Somewhat larger impacts would be experienced by increasing risk drinkers, with the most substantial effects being experienced by high risk drinkers.
5. MUP and promotion ban policies would have larger impacts on those in poverty, particularly high risk drinkers, than those not in poverty. However, those in poverty also experience larger relative gains in health and are estimated to marginally reduce their spending due to their reduced drinking under the majority of policies.


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