Stevens, Alex and Krause, Felipe and Bouchard, Martin (2025) How and why consensus fractured at the 2024 session of the UN Commission on narcotic drugs: an exploratory study of international drug policy constellations using social network analysis and qualitative comparative analysis. Drugs: Education Prevention and Policy, Early online, https://doi.org/10.1080/09687637.2025.2590649.
External website: https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/09687...
Background: Consensus in international drug policy has fractured. It would be useful to explain how and why this occurred.
Aim: This exploratory study develops and tests theory and methods for describing and explaining constellations of policy actors and positions in international drug policy.
Methods: This article applies the policy constellations approach. It uses social network analysis (SNA) of the statements made by countries at the 2024 Commission on Narcotic Drugs, combined with a qualitative comparative analysis (QCA) of the data on countries’ value orientations and national levels of human development.
Results: A network analysis of the statements made at the Commission revealed two constellations of countries in the data: the ‘liberal’ and ‘traditionalist’ constellations. In QCA, after excluding Latin American countries, we find that a population’s level of emancipative values may have a causal effect on membership of these policy constellations; countries with high emancipative values are usually in the liberal constellation, and countries with low emancipative values are usually in the traditionalist constellation.
Conclusion: It is possible to use SNA and QCA to identify policy constellations in international drug policy discussions and to provide a provisional explanation of why countries (outside Latin America) adopt the policy positions they do.
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