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Home > Impact of the smoking ban on the volume of bar sales in Ireland – evidence from the time series analysis.

Cornelsen, Laura and Normand, Charles (2012) Impact of the smoking ban on the volume of bar sales in Ireland – evidence from the time series analysis. Health Economics , 21 , (5) , pp. 551-561.

This paper is the first to estimate the economic impact of a comprehensive smoking ban in all enclosed public places of work, on bars in Ireland. The demand in bars,represented by a monthly index of sales volume, is explained by relative prices in bars, prices of alcohol sold in off-licences and the aggregate retail sales (ARS) as a proxy for general economic activity and incomes. The smoking ban is included into the model as a step dummy and the modelling is done using ARIMAX strategy. The results show a reduction in the volume of sales in bars by -4.6%(po0.01) following the ban.

 

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